Thursday, March 31, 2011

MLB Season Predictions

I was going to write this whole long post with a paragraph on each team with my thoughts and predictions for all of them. I actually started to. About 3 teams in I was already past a page in Microsoft Word and couldn't go on. So I decided to try something out. We're in the Twitter age. So I tried to fit all my thoughts on each team in a single tweet for each. After losing about 6 followers because I tweeted 5 times in about 3 hours I decided to just post the rest here. For those of you smart enough to not follow me on Twitter here are all of those thoughts:

Like the rotation even w/o Peavy. Beckham will be huge. Dunn addition could make for big time offense. Ozzie wont be fired. #WhiteSox

Wise to replace Hudson/Hardy with Nishioka/Casilla? Is Morneau all the way back from concussion? Capps setup man or trade chip? #Twins

Don't trust V-Mart to be a great hitter in Comerica. Like SP's. Don't expect a super human season from Cabrera with all his issues. #Tigers

Francouer will suck and annoy as usual. Gordon will be better than ever. Interesting pen full of rookies. Still a long way to go. #Royals

Sizemore & Hafner don't stay healthy or regain form. Carlos Santana enters top 5 catchers discussion. Carmona doesn't get traded. #Indians

Wells flops. Morales is still missed. Haren or Weaver could be traded. Is Scoscia really thinking of Kendrick over Trout at 1st? #LAAngels

The hitting is actually enough but the starting pitchers let them down. Could a loaded bullpen be poached for a big trade? #Athletics

Smoak starts to show potential. Bedard makes 25 starts. Big bounce back year for Figgins. Bad but not unitnteresting. 3rd place? #Mariners

Still the best in the division. Beltre keeps hitting. Breakthrough for Holland. Ogando flops as a SP. M Young is traded. #TexasRangers

Best team on paper. Lackey bounce back, Buchholz slips back. Is Beckett done? Drew,Ellsbury,Cameron-who sits most? A-Gonz 45 homers. #RedSox

Still lack pitching. Buck can't get them 75 wins. Many new additions disappoint. Still worst team in the division. Trade a hitter? #Orioles

4th & 5th starters don't hurt nearly as much as conventional wisdom says. A-Rod hits 40 homers. Lock down bullpen. Montero by May. #Yankees

Morrow forces himself into upper echelon of SP's. Bautista doesn't hit 40 but good season. Front office keeps showing smarts. #BlueJays.

Manny and Damon are huge in return to AL East. Bullpen is bad. Real bad. Hellickson rookie of the year. Can they take on payroll? #Rays

Offense is big time. Pitching isn't bad but 4th best staff in division. Will be close at trade deadline but can't add payroll. #Mets

If Johnson pitchers 200 innings he will win Cy Young. Big year for Ricky Nolasco. Ramirez and Stanton only great players on team. #Marlins

Rotation impossible, Hitting underwhelming. Utley needs to play or they need to make a trade. Werth loss is huge. #Phillies

How will J Zimmerman fare in a full season? Werth hitting second will work. Laroche will be ok. #Nationals

Hudson will take a step back, Hanson another step foward. Worried about what AGonz and Chipper will produce. Heyward will arrive for real. #Braves

If Johnson pitchers 200 innings he will win Cy Young. Big year for Ricky Nolasco. Ramirez and Stanton only great players on team. #Marlins

I'm on the bandwagon. Carlos Pena will hit 30 HR. The pitching is good and healthiest in division. Big years for Castro and Soto. #Cubs

Pitching injuries a big concern. Bruce could be top 5 in MVP. Disappointing season that can't live up to 2010. #Reds

Will the teams sale go through and how will it change things? Can they convince someone to take Carlos Lee. Lots of GM jokes. #Astros

Greinke, Marcum, Gallardo health crucial to competitiveness. If all hit the DL forget it. Buyers or sellers at deadline? Bye Prince?#Brewers

Still a bad team but at least theres some exciting players to watch like McCutchen, Tabata and Alvarez. Desperately need pitching. #Pirates

Pujols contract won't be a distraction. Berkman's offense and defense is key.Compete but ultimately can't replace Wainwright. #Cardinals

Bad pitching will get hammered. Gibson gets angry a lot. Justin Upton finally becomes one of the best players in baseball. #Diamondbacks

Might need a starter. Wigginton and Lopez benefit a ton from Coors field but not in getting on base. Is Todd Helton finished? #Rockies

Kershaw could compete for Cy Young. Mattingly makes some managing gaffes. Can they add payroll if close? Third place at best.#Dodgers

Pitching takes a big dip after last season. Bartlett, Hudson and Maybin make them respectable but can't get them over .500. #Padres

The defending champs are back and they can actually hit! Matt Cain could have a down season. They will be back in the playoffs. #Giants.

And now on to the Predictions:

AL East - Red Sox
AL Central - White Sox
AL West - Rangers
Wildcard - Yankees

NL East - Phillies
NL Central- Cubs
NL West - Giants
NL Wildcard - Braves

Until recently when the writers who vote on the awards actually started to get it right, I never understood predicting award winners. What you are really predicting is who you feel will be the best pitcher and position player in each league. So hypothetically you could get your prediction right because the guy you picked won the award but he could have won so over a more deserving player. Anywho enough of the rambling:

AL MVP - Adrian Gonzalez
AL CY Young - Francisco Liriano

NL MVP - Troy Tulowitzki
NL CY Young - Josh Johnson

Conventional wisdom says the World Series will be between the Red Sox and Phillies. So you know that’s not happening. I have zero confidence in this pick but why not take a stab in the dark?

World Series: Braves over White Sox

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